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Bad news for global inflation? [Video]

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2022-12

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2022-12-29
Market Forecast
Bad news for global inflation? [Video]

Yesterday, Russia finally responded to the EU’s price cap on its oil exports, saying that they will simply stop exporting their oil to parties that ‘directly or indirectly use the mechanism of setting a price cap’.

The latter announcement gave a minor boost to crude oil yesterday, but the barrel of American crude remained offered into the 50-DMA, near $81.60pb, and the price is back below the $80pb this morning. BUT, an eventual decrease in Russian oil supply gives support to the oil bulls’ in the medium run, along with other factors as China reopening and cold winter in America.

Important to note: If the Chinese reopening story is positive for oil and commodity prices – and for the massively battered Chinese stocks, it’s bad news for global inflation.

This is why we don’t see the US stocks gain on China reopening news, but we rather see them under a decent pressure, as the surge in Chinese demand will certainly boost inflation through higher energy and commodity prices. And in response to higher inflation, the central banks will continue hiking rates.

As a result, the sovereign bond yields are higher, the stocks are lower, while the US dollar is mixed.

Apple is down to lowest levels since summer 2021, and Tesla’s deep dive deepens by the day.

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